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Red6
8327.6
37414.0
38331.5
Blue30
11826.8
28826.9
18654.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163001020405060630

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#16
7.60.6
8.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
118
#3
26.80.0
24.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3741
#17
4.00.8
3.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2882
#40
6.90.0
2.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3833
#52
1.50.8
3.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1865
#49
4.90.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End