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Red18
6475.3
399712.8
27370.7
Blue5
8327.6
42712.9
43012.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13140510202530185

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3997
#15
12.80.4
8.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
832
#16
7.60.4
8.58.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
#8
5.30.3
3.03.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4271
#38
2.90.7
3.93.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2737
#37
0.70.4
1.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
4301
#36
2.30.7
1.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End