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Red16
43284.6
12556.3
28816.7
Blue2
4185.5
33201.7
37414.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1813010203040162

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#18
6.70.1
6.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
418
#20
5.50.5
5.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1255
#34
6.30.1
6.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
3741
#17
4.00.7
4.74.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4328
#25
4.60.1
4.84.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
3320
#45
1.70.7
2.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End