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Red22
43012.3
25829.2
29523.3
Blue10
27738.1
44003.1
4341.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13110203040502210

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#12
9.20.6
8.89.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2773
#29
8.10.1
7.06.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2952
#39
3.30.4
2.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
4400
#54
3.10.1
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4301
#36
2.30.6
1.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
434
#42
1.40.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End