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Red19
39603.1
34836.9
32513.6
Blue8
13773.5
15662.9
18915.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111681012141618198

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.90.7
5.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
1891
#39
5.40.3
5.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3251
#33
3.60.7
3.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1377
#19
3.50.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3960
#22
3.10.7
2.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1566
#34
2.90.3
3.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End