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Red20
32882.3
32891.6
29938.9
Blue12
41538.3
21964.2
34052.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97020304050602012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.90.9
6.67.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
4153
#14
8.30.5
3.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3288
#40
2.30.9
0.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2196
#43
4.20.5
1.82.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3289
#36
1.60.9
1.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3405
#31
2.10.5
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End