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Red6
24868.7
41063.6
32252.4
Blue10
47310.3
24845.8
41538.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9160520253035610

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#15
8.70.3
5.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
473
#27
10.30.5
6.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4106
#20
3.60.3
3.02.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
4153
#14
8.30.5
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3225
#25
2.40.3
0.90.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
5.80.5
4.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End