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Red9
15698.3
18915.4
32891.6
Blue45
39921.4
15662.9
115812.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152601020304050945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.30.5
7.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
399
#1
21.40.9
15.316.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1891
#39
5.40.5
4.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
12.81.5
7.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3289
#36
1.60.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1566
#34
2.91.5
3.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End