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Red8
32864.6
41313.4
37863.9
Blue9
25226.4
43092.3
36464.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions880510152089

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3286
#43
4.60.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
6.40.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3786
#17
3.90.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3646
#14
4.50.1
3.33.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4131
#40
3.40.7
3.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4309
#27
2.30.5
2.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End