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Red8
37119.8
40607.4
32372.1
Blue10
36627.5
29053.6
39957.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158020304050810

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3711
#15
9.80.4
9.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3662
#13
7.50.2
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4060
#35
7.45.2
7.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3995
#12
7.00.2
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3237
#44
2.10.5
2.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2905
#45
3.60.2
2.42.7
Auto
Teleop
End