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Red11
35752.5
29106.6
32684.7
Blue21
38252.1
37863.9
204617.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210515253035401121

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#23
6.60.1
4.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.9
17.40.0
16.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3268
#34
4.70.2
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3786
#17
3.90.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3575
#46
2.50.1
3.33.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3825
#26
2.10.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End