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Red14
39688.6
21478.2
26059.7
Blue18
33906.2
36634.3
37119.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22170103040501418

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2605
#11
9.70.4
8.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3711
#15
9.80.1
7.98.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.60.6
7.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3390
#18
6.20.1
3.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
8.20.6
6.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3663
#28
4.30.1
5.05.1
Auto
Teleop
End