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Red50
412010.4
159510.5
198331.4
Blue12
35136.6
35871.4
291010.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312020304050605012

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.9
27.027.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
2910
#28
10.80.0
6.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
10.51.1
3.34.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3513
#40
6.60.0
3.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4120
#12
10.46.3
10.44.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
3587
#44
1.40.0
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End