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Red10
36931.7
125810.5
408910.7
Blue19
35746.8
292816.0
21495.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1716051020253035401019

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4089
#15
10.70.4
6.05.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2928
#11
16.00.1
9.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1258
#20
10.50.4
8.58.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3574
#17
6.80.1
4.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3693
#43
1.70.6
2.41.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2149
#30
5.80.2
2.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End