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Red6
15142.2
28096.2
41521.3
Blue21
37569.2
2445.8
18462.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311020304050621

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2809
#21
6.20.4
8.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
9.20.8
5.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1514
#20
2.20.6
1.00.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
244
#19
5.80.5
3.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4152
#29
1.30.6
3.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1846
#26
2.30.8
2.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End