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Red44
131012.9
8435.8
316116.8
Blue5
21610.5
40697.7
37391.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2312020304050445

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.7
7.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
216
#7
10.50.3
4.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
12.91.7
10.111.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
4069
#12
7.70.6
2.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
843
#14
5.81.0
6.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3739
#27
1.30.6
3.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End