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Red22
37681.1
30211.9
15027.6
Blue3
36044.4
35364.5
37704.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1315020406080100223

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#4
11.90.4
7.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3770
#38
4.90.6
4.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1502
#26
7.60.4
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3536
#39
4.50.6
7.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3768
#32
1.10.7
1.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
3604
#35
4.41.0
3.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End