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Red3
37736.7
57317.9
30022.8
Blue12
26123.3
24012.9
37078.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261501020304050312

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
#10
17.91.1
16.715.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
240
#21
12.90.3
7.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3773
#23
6.71.9
7.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
3707
#34
8.20.3
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3002
#27
2.81.1
0.9-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2612
#24
3.30.2
4.74.5
Auto
Teleop
End