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Red11
26765.3
309611.7
37075.7
Blue28
35349.1
36686.5
35428.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20180103040501128

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#15
11.70.5
9.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
9.10.5
5.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3707
#22
5.70.5
6.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
3542
#18
8.50.5
7.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2676
#35
5.30.5
4.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3668
#38
6.50.5
5.35.9
Auto
Teleop
End