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Red18
46256.9
46330.7
28814.4
Blue6
47196.3
449712.6
18708.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23290406080100120140186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#4
14.40.3
7.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4497
#29
12.61.8
12.310.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4625
#15
6.90.5
6.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1870
#21
8.81.8
9.57.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4633
#24
0.70.5
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4719
#23
6.31.8
6.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End