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Red4
46347.3
47713.8
35272.9
Blue22
24415.1
46276.2
33543.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25320406080100120140422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4634
#28
7.31.8
12.710.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
244
#8
15.10.5
10.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4771
#19
3.81.8
6.44.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4627
#12
6.20.8
10.29.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3527
#25
2.91.8
6.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3354
#17
3.90.8
10.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End