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Red112
270922.2
259067.4
36539.1
Blue138
17235.4
93042.7
2064.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313350100150200250112138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#22
67.40.2
60.560.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
20
#10
64.70.4
54.655.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
365
#49
39.10.2
39.539.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
930
#37
42.70.4
41.541.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2709
#79
22.20.2
16.516.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.1
172
#75
35.40.4
34.034.4
Auto
Teleop
End