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Red124
86870.9
254325.5
463719.2
Blue116
159531.4
84040.6
95542.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041026080120140124116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#5
70.91.0
66.267.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.8
955
#33
42.10.9
35.336.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2543
#44
25.51.0
22.223.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
840
#81
40.60.7
35.035.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4637
#69
19.21.0
15.116.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.1
1595
#91
31.40.7
31.832.5
Auto
Teleop
End