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Red12
6986.6
38535.6
23759.8
Blue0
284416.6
40185.7
412613.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29300102040506070120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#33
9.81.5
10.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2844
#44
16.62.4
9.97.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
698
#34
6.61.5
10.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
4126
#19
13.42.4
10.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3853
#48
5.61.5
8.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
4018
#46
5.72.4
8.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End