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Red16
301915.8
313313.3
9969.8
Blue13
394413.7
418314.3
16335.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30350204060801613

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#29
15.81.2
11.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4183
#45
14.31.8
14.312.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3133
#30
13.31.2
8.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3944
#39
13.71.8
9.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
996
#21
9.81.2
10.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1633
#42
5.41.8
11.09.2
Auto
Teleop
End