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Red16
34820.6
35554.9
66312.4
Blue100
71636.8
13824.2
83921.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348905010015020016100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
20.61.3
21.920.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.2
716
Unranked
36.81.0
35.636.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
663
Unranked
12.41.3
14.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
138
Unranked
24.21.0
23.824.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3555
Unranked
4.91.3
5.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
839
Unranked
21.51.0
21.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End