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Red53
378015.8
17238.3
318211.6
Blue75
55837.3
5014.4
28368.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75410501001505375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
Unranked
38.30.8
38.437.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
558
Unranked
37.31.4
36.137.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3780
Unranked
15.80.8
18.918.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
2836
Unranked
8.81.4
7.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
Unranked
11.60.8
12.611.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
501
Unranked
4.41.4
3.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End