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Red153
347644.6
113826.9
69634.9
Blue75
153853.8
5857.1
414017.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92725015015375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.63.2
36.339.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
53.80.0
49.449.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
696
#14
34.93.2
29.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.2
4140
#25
17.70.0
17.017.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1138
#11
26.93.2
23.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.8
585
#37
7.10.0
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End