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Red62
45562.4
248631.8
388024.8
Blue23
34918.1
347013.5
347313.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613202040801001201401606223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.3
29.329.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
3470
#29
13.50.9
14.813.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3880
#12
24.80.3
25.425.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
3473
#35
13.40.9
13.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4556
#39
2.40.4
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3491
#49
8.10.9
8.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End