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Red20
39676.3
7028.4
282718.8
Blue52
348612.9
25446.3
348012.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32660204060801001202052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2827
#11
18.81.5
16.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.5
254
#18
46.30.8
33.332.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
702
#39
8.41.5
10.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3486
#22
12.90.8
17.216.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3967
#59
6.31.5
10.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3480
#27
12.20.8
10.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End