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Red110
396525.7
210217.3
432229.8
Blue25
384913.3
113823.1
46166.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512802040608010011025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#15
29.85.2
11.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1138
#56
23.10.5
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3965
#20
25.75.2
24.329.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.4
3849
#35
13.30.5
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2102
#26
17.35.2
11.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
4616
#54
6.90.5
8.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End