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Red15
81210.5
115914.1
162214.4
Blue12
44864.0
41607.9
21933.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3621060801512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#34
14.41.6
12.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
4160
#48
7.90.9
12.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1159
#10
14.11.6
10.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
4486
#43
4.00.9
5.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
812
#16
10.51.6
11.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
2193
#46
3.80.9
5.24.3
Auto
Teleop
End