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Red3
28395.6
325016.3
157214.8
Blue87
98770.7
46166.9
458312.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32590204080100120140387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#23
16.32.8
12.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 54.3
987
#1
70.72.7
35.938.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1572
#41
14.82.8
14.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
12.60.5
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2839
#51
5.62.8
9.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
4616
#54
6.95.3
6.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End