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Red29
233916.9
440119.5
401421.5
Blue8
432229.8
26588.6
41607.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363201020405060298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.50.5
10.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
4322
#15
29.82.0
11.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4401
#12
19.50.5
11.010.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
2658
#49
8.62.0
9.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2339
#40
16.90.5
13.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
4160
#48
7.92.0
10.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End