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Red65
217025.3
199132.7
318214.0
Blue35
305925.8
10279.7
9514.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801001201406535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
#16
32.70.7
30.831.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
3059
#50
25.80.6
21.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2170
#32
25.31.0
13.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.9
95
#41
14.40.5
9.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3182
#40
14.00.6
9.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1027
#20
9.70.6
12.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End