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Red118
457614.8
43535.8
170842.6
Blue109
113835.2
313838.8
129029.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8089050100150200118109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#36
42.61.8
37.939.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
3138
#46
38.81.1
32.033.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
435
#23
35.81.8
30.332.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1138
#11
35.21.1
26.727.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4576
#100
14.81.8
13.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.6
1290
#81
29.41.2
29.130.3
Auto
Teleop
End