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Red80
366013.6
181031.5
39937.9
Blue128
198357.5
293640.0
481421.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7410705015080128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#20
37.90.0
34.634.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.6
57.51.3
51.252.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1810
#54
31.50.0
28.728.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
2936
#15
40.01.3
36.037.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3660
#70
13.60.0
16.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
21.11.3
15.016.3
Auto
Teleop
End