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Red107
412519.3
476115.9
406339.8
Blue101
299651.6
78132.3
457614.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65110050150200107101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#29
39.81.7
36.137.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
2996
#43
51.60.1
52.852.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4125
#51
19.31.7
19.221.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
781
#73
32.30.1
34.834.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4761
#67
15.91.7
17.018.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4576
#100
14.80.1
15.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End