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Red123
129029.4
222016.6
14857.2
Blue138
291014.2
198357.5
131065.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10813150150200250123138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#16
57.20.6
59.259.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
65.70.5
56.657.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1290
#81
29.40.6
31.732.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 28.1
57.50.5
54.455.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2220
#89
16.60.6
20.521.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2910
#91
14.20.5
16.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End