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Red124
142155.1
291414.1
216839.3
Blue133
23051.8
150343.7
167845.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91152050200250124133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1421
#79
55.11.2
55.156.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
230
#32
51.80.5
50.249.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2168
#38
39.31.2
37.138.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
45.40.5
44.744.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2914
#90
14.11.2
8.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.6
1503
#57
43.70.5
47.947.4
Auto
Teleop
End