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Red82
190236.3
94520.1
40649.5
Blue90
152320.6
379015.2
355621.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions634620801001201401608290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#12
36.31.5
34.836.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.1
21.23.0
18.621.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
945
#21
20.11.5
17.819.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1523
#26
20.63.0
17.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4064
#57
9.51.5
7.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
3790
#44
15.23.0
12.215.2
Auto
Teleop
End