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Red60
301111.5
8620.3
47699.3
Blue78
23327.8
25565.3
399825.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335702040801001201406078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#20
20.31.7
18.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
233
#16
27.81.8
25.727.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3011
#45
11.51.7
9.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.6
3998
#28
25.11.9
24.025.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4769
#43
9.31.7
7.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2556
#49
5.31.8
3.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End