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Red115
147760.6
44742.1
401120.0
Blue118
365646.9
204625.4
297825.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288650100150200250115118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#27
60.60.3
57.357.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
46.91.3
47.248.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
447
#65
42.10.3
43.943.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
2978
#62
25.81.3
20.521.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4011
#82
20.00.3
20.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2046
#76
25.41.3
24.625.9
Auto
Teleop
End