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Red128
121854.7
29532.8
162940.1
Blue81
452219.4
479719.2
272960.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339405015020012881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#53
54.70.1
55.155.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
2729
#15
60.81.0
59.058.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1629
#61
40.10.1
39.839.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.7
4522
#78
19.41.0
21.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
295
#13
32.80.1
31.831.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
4797
#98
19.21.0
19.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End