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Red126
142920.5
449226.7
2752.5
Blue156
147760.6
348122.4
142554.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211650150200126156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#19
52.51.5
46.347.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
1477
#27
60.62.2
56.158.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4492
#42
26.71.5
24.826.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.4
54.12.2
39.541.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1429
#100
20.51.5
24.526.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
3481
#66
22.42.2
16.919.0
Auto
Teleop
End