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Red131
415834.4
140531.5
11877.9
Blue139
401120.0
111494.4
19231.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014450100200250131139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
77.90.1
73.973.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
94.40.1
94.394.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4158
#81
34.40.1
29.129.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
192
#79
31.70.1
32.932.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1405
#86
31.50.1
29.029.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
4011
#82
20.00.1
14.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End