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Red154
23447.0
164622.4
86866.2
Blue129
44749.6
128847.6
175634.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13313480100120140160180200154129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
66.20.3
65.766.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
447
#7
49.60.1
50.150.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#2
47.00.3
46.546.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1288
#23
47.60.1
48.148.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#42
22.40.3
21.922.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
1756
#35
34.60.1
35.135.1
Auto
Teleop
End