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Red147
86866.2
23447.0
164622.4
Blue107
44749.6
128847.6
175634.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13613350100150200250147107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#1
66.20.2
66.066.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
447
#7
49.60.4
50.049.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
234
#2
47.00.2
46.847.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1288
#23
47.60.4
48.047.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#42
22.40.2
22.222.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
1756
#35
34.60.4
35.134.6
Auto
Teleop
End