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Red131
29219.4
220242.8
402836.5
Blue44
103830.6
433017.9
23608.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9246015020013144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#22
42.82.3
35.537.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.2
1038
#33
30.60.5
30.029.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
36.52.3
30.032.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.6
4330
#34
17.90.5
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
292
#17
19.42.3
19.621.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
2360
#27
8.30.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End