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Red117
414329.3
93041.5
174148.0
Blue110
152910.7
164622.4
128847.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121540100150200250117110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1741
#15
48.00.3
46.847.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1288
#23
47.62.3
38.140.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
930
#3
41.50.3
35.035.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.0
1646
#42
22.42.3
18.821.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4143
#31
29.30.3
28.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.7
1529
#30
10.72.3
7.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End